Forecasting environmental migration to the United Kingdom: an exploration using Bayesian models

Author:

Abel Guy,Bijak Jakub,Findlay Allan,McCollum David,Wiśniowski Arkadiusz

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Subject

Environmental Science (miscellaneous),Demography

Reference43 articles.

1. Abel, G. J., Bijak, J., & Raymer, J. (2010). A comparison of official population projections with Bayesian time series forecasts for England and Wales. Population Trends, 141, 95–114.

2. Abel, G., Bijak, J., Wiśniowski, A., Findlay, A., & McCollum, D. (2011). Migration and global environmental change. MR8: Model specification and results of Bayesian forecast of total and environmental immigration to the United Kingdom, 2010–2060. Evidence Paper for the Government Office for Science. Global Environmental Migration Project. London: GOS.

3. Alho, J. M., & Spencer, B. D. (2005). Statistical demography and forecasting. New York: Springer.

4. Bayes, T. (1763). An essay towards solving a problem in the doctrine of chances. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, 53, 370–418.

5. Bernardo, J. M. (2003). Bayesian statistics. In: R. Viertl (Ed.), Probability and statistics. Encyclopaedia of life support systems (EOLSS): An integrated virtual library. Oxford: UNESCO. http://www.uv.es/bernardo/BayesStat.pdf .

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