Deliberation and confidence change

Author:

Heinzelmann NoraORCID,Hartmann StephanORCID

Abstract

AbstractWe argue that social deliberation may increase an agent’s confidence and credence under certain circumstances. An agent considers a proposition H and assigns a probability to it. However, she is not fully confident that she herself is reliable in this assignment. She then endorses H during deliberation with another person, expecting him to raise serious objections. To her surprise, however, the other person does not raise any objections to H. How should her attitudes toward H change? It seems plausible that she should (i) increase the credence she assigns to H and, at the same time, (ii) increase the reliability she assigns to herself concerning H (i.e. her confidence). A Bayesian model helps us to investigate under what conditions, if any, this is rational.

Funder

Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Subject

General Social Sciences,Philosophy

Reference39 articles.

Cited by 1 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献 订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献

1. Extremists are more confident;Erkenntnis;2022-09-12

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