An end-to-end machine learning approach with explanation for time series with varying lengths

Abstract

AbstractAn accurate prediction of complex product quality parameters from process time series by an end-to-end learning approach remains a significant challenge in machine learning. A special difficulty is the application of industrial batch process data because many batch processes generate variable length time series. In the industrial application of such methods, explainability is often desired. In this study, a 1D convolutional neural network (CNN) algorithm with a masking layer is proposed to solve the problem for time series of variable length. In addition, a novel combination of 1D CNN and class activation mapping (CAM) technique is part of this study to better understand the model results and highlight some regions of interest in the time series. As a comparative state-of-the-art unsupervised machine learning method, the One-Nearest Neighbours (1NN) algorithm combined with dynamic time warping (DTW) was used. Both methods are investigated as end-to-end learning methods with balanced and unbalanced class distributions and with scaled and unscaled input data, respectively. The FastDTW and DTAIDistance algorithms were investigated for the DTW calculation. The data set is made up of sensor signals that was collected during the production of plastic parts. The objective was to predict a quality parameter of plastic parts during production. For this research, the quality parameter will be a difficult or only destructively measurable parameter and both methods will be investigated for their applicability to this prediction task. The application of the proposed approach to an industrial facility for producing plastic products shows a prediction accuracy of 83.7%. It can improve the reverence method by approximately 1.4%. In addition to the slight increase in accuracy, the CNN training time was significantly reduced compared to the DTW calculation.