Exploring the spatial patterns of soil salinity and organic carbon in agricultural areas of Lesvos Island, Greece, using geoinformation technologies

Abstract

Abstract The salt-affected soils national map of Greece was recently made available within the initiative of the Global Soil Partnership (GSP) of Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations FAO. The present study explores the development of higher resolution soil property maps included in this national scale product adopting a modified version of the FAO methodology and a logistic regression (LR) method based on ground and satellite data. Furthermore, it also investigates the correlation between saline soils and soil organic carbon (SOC) using geospatial analysis methods. The island of Lesvos in Greece has been selected as a case study. A probabilistic model for saline soils in the agricultural land of Lesvos is produced by exploiting geoinformation technologies. As a result, the spatial distribution of saline soils in the croplands of Lesvos was obtained. Indicatively, areas with p > 0.80 for the occurrence of saline soils accounting for ∼20% of a total area of 169.51 km2 of the croplands in Lesvos. The Nagelkerke R2 coefficient showed that the probabilistic model interprets 11.3% of the variance of the dependent variable from the independent factors. The model accuracy was assessed adopting the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, which showed a reasonable adaptability with area under curve (equal to 0.73). The methodological approach proposed herein can support decision-making on agricultural land protection and planning activities which are key priority today due to environmental instability, food security, and climate change.