COVID-19 Predictive Models Based on Grammatical Evolution

Abstract

AbstractA feature construction method that incorporates a grammatical guided procedure is presented here to predict the monthly mortality rate of the COVID-19 pandemic. Three distinct use cases were obtained from publicly available data and three corresponding datasets were created for that purpose. The proposed method is based on constructing artificial features from the original ones. After the artificial features are generated, the original data set is modified based on these features and a machine learning model, such as an artificial neural network, is applied to the modified data. From the comparative experiments done, it was clear that feature construction has an advantage over other machine learning methods for predicting pandemic elements.