Complementarity formulation of games with random payoffs
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Published:2023-07-22
Issue:1
Volume:20
Page:
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ISSN:1619-697X
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Container-title:Computational Management Science
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language:en
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Short-container-title:Comput Manag Sci
Author:
Riccardi Rossana,Oggioni Giorgia,Allevi Elisabetta,Lisser Abdel
Abstract
AbstractWe consider an n-player non-cooperative game where the payoff function of each player follows a multivariate distribution. This formulation is adopted to model a zonal electricity market in which generators operate by running conventional and renewable-based plants. The players in the market compete as in a Cournot model. We formulate this problem as a chance-constrained game by defining the payoff function of each player using a chance constraint. A full empirical analysis has been conducted on the Italian electricity market to test the impact of renewable generators in the light of decarbonization of the market and the impact of the volatility of the cost of conventional plants, mainly related to the volatility of gas prices. We finally test the robustness of the chance constraint formulation with an out of sample analysis.
Funder
Università degli Studi di Brescia
Publisher
Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Subject
Management Information Systems,Business, Management and Accounting (miscellaneous),Management Science and Operations Research,Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty
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