1. Anon. (1699), A Calculation of the Credibility of Human Testimony, Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. London, 21, 359?365.
2. Arnauld, Antoine, & Pierre Nicole (1662), la Logique, ou l'art de penser, Paris.
3. Bayes, Thomas (1764), An essay towards solving a problem in the doctrine of chances, Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. London for 1763, 53, 370?418. Reprinted in Biometrika 45, 293?315 (1958), and in Pearson & Kendall, eds.
4. Beran, Rudolph (1970) Upper and Lower risks and Minimax Procedures, Proceedings of the Sixth Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability, Vol. 1, pp. 1?16.
5. Bernoulli, Daniel (1778), Dijudicatio maxime probabilis plurium observationum discrepantium atque verisimillima inductio inde formanda, Acta Acad. Petrop. for 1777, pars prior, 3?23. An English translation by G. D. Allen was published in Biometrika, 48, 1?18 (1961), and reprinted in Pearson & Kendall, eds.