Time-series forecasting for ships maneuvering in waves via recurrent-type neural networks

Author:

D’Agostino Danny,Serani AndreaORCID,Stern FrederickORCID,Diez MatteoORCID

Abstract

AbstractThe prediction capability of recurrent-type neural networks is investigated for real-time short-term prediction (nowcasting) of ship motions in high sea state. Specifically, the performance of recurrent neural networks, long short-term memory, and gated recurrent units models are assessed and compared using a data set coming from computational fluid dynamics simulations of a self-propelled destroyer-type vessel in stern-quartering sea state 7. Time-series of incident wave, ship motions, rudder angle, as well as immersion probes, are used as variables for a nowcasting problem. The objective is to obtain about 20 s ahead prediction. Overall, the three methods provide promising and comparable results.

Funder

Office of Naval Research Global

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Subject

Ocean Engineering,Energy Engineering and Power Technology,Water Science and Technology,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment

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