Analysis and visualization of team performances of football games-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Analysis and visualization of team performances of football games

Published:2022-08-12 Issue:2 Volume:5 Page:885-898
ISSN:2520-8756
Container-title:Japanese Journal of Statistics and Data Science
language:en
Short-container-title:Jpn J Stat Data Sci

Author:

Obata Tsuneshi^ORCID,Izumi Shizue^ORCID

Abstract

AbstractIt is well known that the number of goals in a football game follows a Poisson distribution very well. Therefore, the intensity parameters of Poisson distributions, followed by the number of goals gained/lost by a team, can be regarded as the indices of the offensive/defensive performance of the team. Teams belonging to a professional football league have many games throughout the season. The performances of such teams should be considered not to be constant throughout the season. A Poisson regression model with varying coefficients is proposed to analyze and visualize the time-varying performance indices of football teams. It is also applicable to estimating the performances up to the middle of a season, and estimated performances can be used to predict the future game’s outcome probabilities. These methods are demonstrated with the data of the Japanese professional football league.

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Subject

Computational Theory and Mathematics,Statistics and Probability

Link

https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s42081-022-00173-z.pdf

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