Situation-dependent intensity skill metric and intensity spread guidance for western North Pacific tropical cyclones

Author:

Elsberry Russell L.,Tsai Hsiao-Chung

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Subject

Atmospheric Science

Reference17 articles.

1. Chu, J.-H., 1994: A regression model for western North Pacific tropical cyclone intensity forecasts. NRL Memo. Rep. 7541-94-7215, Naval Research Laboratory, 33 pp [available from Naval Research Laboratory, 7 Grace Hopper Avenue, Monterey, CA 93943].

2. DeMaria, M., J. A. Knaff, and C. R. Sampson, 2007: Evaluation of longterm trend in tropical cyclone intensity forecasts. Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 97, 19–28.

3. ____, C. R. Sampson, J. A. Knaff, and K. D. Musgrave, 2013: Is tropical cyclone intensity guidance improving? Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., early on-line release, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00240.1

4. ____, M. Mainelli, L. K. Shay, J. A. Knaff, and J. Kaplan, 2005: Further improvement to the Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS). Wea. Forecasting, 20, 531–543.

5. Elsberry, R. L., 2007: Advances in tropical cyclone motion prediction and recommendations for the future. Bull. World Meteor. Organiz., 56, 131–135.

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