Testing and validating IRI-2016 model over Ethiopian ionosphere

Abstract

AbstractThis paper focuses on the validation of the latest version of the International Reference Ionosphere (IRI-2016) model in predicting the vertical total electron content (VTEC) variation over Ethiopian ionospheric region during a high solar activity (2012-2016) phase. The diurnal, monthly and seasonal VTEC variations were analyzed from dual-frequency global positioning system (GPS) and IRI-2016 model at the Debark station. The diurnal, monthly and seasonal maximum TEC values measured between around 9:00 and 18:00 UT (12:00 and 21:00 LT) hours and the minimum TEC values measured before 9:00 (12:00 LT) and after 18:00 UT (21:00 LT). The overall results show that IRI-2016 model generally overestimates the diurnal, monthly and seasonal mean VTEC values during the high solar activity (2012-2016) phase. The model prediction generally follows that the monthly and seasonal variations of the measured VTEC values in equinoctial months are higher than solstice months. The monthly mean and seasonal mean values of IRI-TEC and GPS-TEC mostly correlates before early morning and after evening hours and also slightly IRI-TEC underestimates starting from morning hours up to evening hours. The magnetic storm effects on GPS-TEC are associated with fluctuations. However, the IRI-TEC values show smooth pattern during both in storm on and off options. Consequently, the IRI-2016 model does not correctly respond to the effects of the resulting storm disturbance.