Skill decreases in real-time seasonal climate prediction due to decadal variability
Author:
Funder
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Publisher
Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Subject
Atmospheric Science
Link
https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s00382-023-06800-z.pdf
Reference50 articles.
1. Barnston AG, Tippett MK, Ranganathan M, L’Heureux ML (2019) Deterministic skill of ENSO predictions from the North American multimodel ensemble. Clim Dyn 53:7215–7234. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3603-3
2. Bauer P, Thorpe A, Brunet G (2015) The quiet revolution of numerical weather prediction. Nature 525:47–55. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature14956
3. Becker EJ, Kirtman BP, L’Heureux M, Muñoz ÁG, Pegion K (2022) A decade of the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME): research, application, and future directions. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 103:E973–E995. https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-20-0327.1
4. Bett PE, Martin GM, Dunstone N, Scaife AA, Thornton HE, Li C (2021) Seasonal rainfall forecasts for the Yangtze River Basin in the extreme summer of 2020. Adv Atmos Sci 38:2212–2220. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-021-1087-x
5. Buontempo C, Hutjes R, Beavis P, Berckmans J, Cagnazzo C, Vamborg F, Thepaut J-N, Bergeron C, Almond S, Amici A, Ramasamy S, Dee D (2020) Fostering the development of climate services through Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) for agriculture applications. Weather Clim Extremes. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2019.100226
Cited by 2 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献 订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献
1. Quantile Delta-Mapped Spatial Disaggregation Analysis for Climate Variations over the Yangtze River Basin;Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology;2024-08
2. Skillful seasonal prediction of the 2022–23 mega soil drought over the Yangtze River basin by combining dynamical climate prediction and copula analysis;Environmental Research Letters;2024-05-20
1.学者识别学者识别
2.学术分析学术分析
3.人才评估人才评估
"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370
www.globalauthorid.com
TOP
Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司 京公网安备11010802033243号 京ICP备18003416号-3