MRI-based radiomics model for preoperative prediction of extramural venous invasion of rectal adenocarcinoma

Abstract

Background Extramural venous invasion (EMVI) is an important prognostic factor of rectal adenocarcinoma. However, accurate preoperative assessment of EMVI remains difficult. Purpose To assess EMVI preoperatively through radiomics technology, and use different algorithms combined with clinical factors to establish a variety of models in order to make the most accurate judgments before surgery. Material and Methods A total of 212 patients with rectal adenocarcinoma between September 2012 and July 2019 were included and distributed to training and validation datasets. Radiomics features were extracted from pretreatment T2-weighted images. Different prediction models (clinical model, logistic regression [LR], random forest [RF], support vector machine [SVM], clinical-LR model, clinical-RF model, and clinical-SVM model) were constructed on the basis of radiomics features and clinical factors, respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) and accuracy were used to assess the predictive efficacy of different models. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were also calculated. Results The clinical-LR model exhibited the best diagnostic efficiency with an AUC of 0.962 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.936–0.988) and 0.865 (95% CI = 0.770–0.959), accuracy of 0.899 and 0.828, sensitivity of 0.867 and 0.818, specificity of 0.913 and 0.833, PPV of 0.813 and 0.720, and NPV of 0.940 and 0.897 for the training and validation datasets, respectively. Conclusion The radiomics-based prediction model is a valuable tool in EMVI detection and can assist decision-making in clinical practice.