Growing Uncertainty in Marriage Expectations among U.S. Youth-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Growing Uncertainty in Marriage Expectations among U.S. Youth

Published:2024-01 Issue: Volume:10 Page:
ISSN:2378-0231
Container-title:Socius: Sociological Research for a Dynamic World
language:en
Short-container-title:Socius: Sociological Research for a Dynamic World

Author:

Pepin Joanna R.¹^ORCID,Cohen Philip N.²^ORCID

Affiliation:

1. University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada

2. University of Maryland, College Park, MD, USA

Abstract

Marriage rates are falling in the United States. The authors ask whether today’s young adults are likely to continue this trend. Using Monitoring the Future Public-Use Cross-Sectional Datasets (1976–2022), this visualization presents U.S. 12th graders’ marriage expectations. It shows declining optimism that they will be “very good” spouses and declining expectations that they will eventually marry. Both trends are prominent in the last 10 years of the survey, and both are more dramatic among young women than among young men. If these trends hold, it may foretell further declines in marriage rates in the coming years.

Publisher

SAGE Publications

Link

https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1177/23780231241241035

Reference4 articles.

1. High School Seniors’ Expectations to Marry, 2020

2. Rethinking Marriage Metabolism: The Declining Frequency of Marital Events in the United States

3. Miech Richard A., Johnston Lloyd D., Bachman Jerald G., O’Malley Patrick M., Schulenberg John E., Patrick Megan E. 2023. “Monitoring the Future: A Continuing Study of American Youth (12th-Grade Survey), 2022 (ICPSR 38882).” Retrieved March 15, 2024. https://www.icpsr.umich.edu/web/NAHDAP/studies/38882/versions/V1.

4. Have Teens’ Cohabitation, Marriage, and Childbearing Goals Changed Since the Great Recession?