The Volatility of the Output Gap in the G7

Author:

Barell Ray,Gottschalk Sylvia

Abstract

We investigate declining output volatility in the G7 since 1970 in a panel context, seeking to explain the causes of the decline. We show that there is a significant role for both net financial wealth and trade openness as well as inflation volatility, even though previous studies have ignored the fact that it may be endogenous and its role therefore spurious. However, its importance clearly varies over time and across countries, and it appears less important as an explanation of declining volatility in the US than it does in the UK. Changes in openness appear to be at least as important in explaining the decline in US output volatility.

Publisher

Cambridge University Press (CUP)

Subject

General Economics, Econometrics and Finance

Reference17 articles.

1. Has the Business Cycle Changed and Why?

2. Business Cycles and Turning Points: A Survey of Statistical Techniques

3. Output Fluctuations in the United States: What Has Changed Since the Early 1980's?

4. Bergman, U.M., Bordo, M.D. and Jonung, L. (1998), ‘Historical evidence on business cycles: the international experience’, in Jeffrey, C. and Schuh, S. (eds), Beyond shocks: what causes business cycles?, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, Conference Series no 4, pp. 65–113.

5. Business cycles and the exchange-rate regime

Cited by 20 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献 订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3