The use of neurone specific enolase to prognosticate neurological recovery and long term neurological outcomes in OOHCA patients

Abstract

Introduction: Hypoxic-ischaemic brain injury (HIBI), is a common sequalae following out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OOHCA), it is reported as the cause of death in 68% of patients who survive to ICU admission, while other patients can be left with permanent neurological disability. Prediction of neurological outcome follows a multimodal approach, including use of the biomarker, neurone specific enolase (NSE). There is however no definitive cut-off value for poor neurological outcome, and little research has analysed NSE and long-term outcomes in survivors. We investigated an NSE threshold for poor short-term neurological outcome and the relationship between NSE and poor neurological outcome in survivors. Methods: A retrospective study was conducted of all adult OOHCA patients admitted to the Royal County Sussex Hospital ICU between April 2017 and November 2018. NSE levels, Targeted Temperature Management (TTM), cross-sectional imaging, mortality and GCS on ICU discharge were recorded. Assessment of neurological function after a median of 19 months (range 14–32 months) post ICU discharge was undertaken following ICU discharge and related to NSE. Results: NSE levels were measured in 59 patients; of these 36 (61%) had a poor neurological outcome due to hypoxic ischaemic brain injury. Youden’s index and ROC analysis established an NSE cut-off value of 64.5 μg/L, with AUC of 0.901, sensitivity of 77.8% and specificity of 100%. Follow-up of 26 survivors after 19 months did not show a significant relationship between NSE after OOHCA and long-term neurological outcome. Conclusion: Our results show that NSE >64.5 µg/L has a poor short-term neurological outcome with 100% specificity. Whilst limited by a low sample size, NSE in survivors showed no relationship with neurological outcome post OOHCA in the long term.