Inherent Complexity and Early Warning of Zaozhuang Circular Economy System

Author:

Ma Junhai1ORCID,Wang Dexia1,Li Xiao2,Zhang Bing1

Affiliation:

1. College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, P. R. China

2. Zhejiang University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Hang Zhou 310018, P. R. China

Abstract

Based on China’s green energy development strategy, this paper constructs a basic model of recycling and a channel expansion model for the circular economy foundation of Zaozhuang, Shandong Province, China. Through numerical simulation, it is found that each member of the supply chain should control the rate of price adjustment, otherwise it will cause market disruption. The model is controlled based on a chaos control method. Then, based on the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, an early warning system for the circular economy of Zaozhuang City is constructed. It is found that the economic development of Zaozhuang is a serious warning, resources are moderate warning, and the environment is not in an alarm state. In addition to paying attention to energy conservation and emission reduction of enterprises, the government should pay attention to creating awareness of energy conservation and emission reduction in society, and strengthen the technological investment in reducing pollutant emissions. This paper provides a strategic reference for the circular economy model in Zaozhuang, Shandong, China.

Funder

the National Natural Science Foundation of China

Publisher

World Scientific Pub Co Pte Ltd

Subject

Applied Mathematics,Modeling and Simulation,Engineering (miscellaneous)

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