Functional protein mining with conformal guarantees

Author:

Boger Ron S.ORCID,Chithrananda SeyoneORCID,Angelopoulos Anastasios N.ORCID,Yoon Peter H.ORCID,Jordan Michael I.ORCID,Doudna Jennifer A.ORCID

Abstract

1AbstractMolecular structure prediction and homology detection provide a promising path to discovering new protein function and evolutionary relationships. However, current approaches lack statistical reliability assurances, limiting their practical utility for selecting proteins for further experimental and in-silico characterization. To address this challenge, we introduce a novel approach to protein search leveraging principles from conformal prediction, offering a framework that ensures statistical guarantees with user-specified risk on outputs from any protein search model. Our method (1) lets users select any loss metric (i.e. false discovery rate) and assigns reliable functional probabilities for annotating genes of unknown function; (2) achieves state-of-the-art performance in enzyme classification without training new models; and (3) robustly and rapidly pre-filters proteins for computationally intensive structural alignment algorithms. Our framework enhances the reliability of protein homology detection and enables the discovery of new proteins with likely desirable functional properties.

Publisher

Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory

Reference49 articles.

1. Predicting with confidence: using conformal prediction in drug discovery;Journal of Pharmaceutical Sciences,2021

2. A gentle introduction to conformal prediction and distribution-free uncertainty quantification;arXiv preprint,2021

3. Learn then test: Calibrating predictive algorithms to achieve risk control;arXiv preprint,2021

4. Conformal risk control;arXiv preprint,2022

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