Estimating the Case Fatality Risk of COVID-19 using Cases from Outside China-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Estimating the Case Fatality Risk of COVID-19 using Cases from Outside China

Published:2020-02-18 Issue: Volume: Page:
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Author:

Wilson Nick,Kvalsvig Amanda,Barnard Lucy Telfar,Baker Michael G

Abstract

AbstractThere is large uncertainty around the case fatality risk (CFR) for COVID-19 in China. Therefore, we considered symptomatic cases outside of China (countries/settings with 20+ cases) and the proportion who are in intensive care units (4.0%, 14/349 on 13 February 2020). Given what is known about CFRs for ICU patients with severe respiratory conditions from a meta-analysis, we estimated a CFR of 1.37% (95%CI: 0.57% to 3.22%) for COVID- 19 cases outside of China.

Publisher

Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory

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