Who Can Tell Which Banks Will Fail?

Author:

Blickle Kristian1,Brunnermeier Markus2,Luck Stephan1

Affiliation:

1. Federal Reserve Bank of New York , USA

2. Princeton University , USA

Abstract

Abstract We study the run on the German banking system in 1931 to understand whether depositors anticipate which banks will fail in a major financial crisis. We find that deposits decline by around 20% during the run. There is an equal outflow of retail and nonfinancial wholesale deposits from both failing and surviving banks. In contrast, we find that interbank deposits almost exclusively decline for failing banks. Our evidence suggests that banks are better informed about which fellow banks will fail. In turn, banks being informed allows the interbank market to continue providing liquidity even during times of severe financial distress.

Funder

Princeton University

Bendheim Center for Finance, Lars Peter Hansen

Macro Financial Modeling

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Reference78 articles.

1. A crisis of banks as liquidity providers;Acharya;Journal of Finance,2015

2. Securitization without risk transfer;Acharya;Journal of Financial Economics,2013

3. Were Universal Banks More Vulnerable to Banking Failures? Evidence From the 1931 German Banking Crisis;Adalet;Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 0911,2009

4. Stressed, not frozen: The federal funds market in the financial crisis;Afonso;The Journal of Finance,2011

Cited by 1 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献 订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献

1. Tracing Bank Runs in Real Time;Staff Reports (Federal Reserve Bank of New York);2024-05

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3