Population-Based Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness Against Laboratory-Confirmed Influenza Infection in Southern China, 2023–2024 Season

Author:

Gào Xīn12ORCID,Sun Yexiang3ORCID,Shen Peng3,Guo Jinxin12ORCID,Chen Yunpeng3ORCID,Yin Yueqi3ORCID,Liu Zhike12ORCID,Zhan Siyan1245ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University , Beijing , China

2. Key Laboratory of Epidemiology of Major Diseases, Peking University, Ministry of Education , Beijing , China

3. Yinzhou District Center for Disease Control and Prevention , Ningbo , China

4. Center for Intelligent Public Health, Institute for Artificial Intelligence, Peking University , Beijing , China

5. Research Center of Clinical Epidemiology, Peking University Third Hospital , Beijing , China

Abstract

Abstract Background In China, the 2022–2023 influenza season began earlier and was characterized by higher levels of influenza activity and co-circulation of various respiratory pathogens compared with seasons before the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Timely and precise estimates of influenza vaccine effectiveness (IVE) against infections can be used to guide public health measures. Methods A test-negative study was conducted to estimate IVE against laboratory-confirmed influenza using data from the CHinese Electronic health Records Research in Yinzhou (CHERRY) study that prospectively integrated laboratory, vaccination, and health administrative data in Yinzhou, southern China. We included patients who presented influenza-like illness and received nucleic acid tests and/or antigen tests between October 2023 and March 2024. Estimates of IVE were adjusted for age, gender, month of specimen submitted, chronic comorbidities, and hospitalization status. Results A total of 205 028 participants, including 96 298 influenza cases (7.6% vaccinated) and 108 730 influenza-negative controls (13.4% vaccinated), were eligible for this analysis. The estimates of IVE were 49.4% (95% CI, 47.8%–50.9%), 41.9% (95% CI, 39.8%–44.0%), and 59.9% (95% CI, 57.9%–61.9%) against overall influenza, influenza A, and influenza B, respectively. A lower IVE was observed for individuals aged 7–17 years (38.6%), vs 45.8% for 6 months–6 years, 46.7% for 18–64 years, and 46.1% for ≥65 years. Vaccination reduced the risk of infection by 44.4% among patients with chronic comorbidities. IVEs varied by epidemic weeks with the changes in influenza activity levels and the switch of dominant influenza strains. Conclusions Influenza vaccination in the 2023–2024 season was protective against infection for the entire population.

Funder

Science and Technology Project of Science and Technology Bureau of Yinzhou District, Ningbo City

Young Scientists Fund of the National Natural Science Foundation of China

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation

Key Program of the National Natural Science Foundation of China

Funds for International Cooperation and Exchange of the National Natural Science Foundation of China

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

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