Risk of New-Onset Long COVID Following Reinfection With Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2: A Community-Based Cohort Study

Author:

Bosworth Matthew L1,Shenhuy Boran2,Walker A Sarah34,Nafilyan Vahé15ORCID,Alwan Nisreen A67,O’Hara Margaret E8,Ayoubkhani Daniel19ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Data and Analysis for Social Care and Health Division, Office for National Statistics , Newport , United Kingdom

2. Methodology and Quality Directorate, Office for National Statistics , Newport , United Kingdom

3. National Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit in Healthcare-Associated Infections and Antimicrobial Resistance, University of Oxford , Oxford , United Kingdom

4. Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford , Oxford , United Kingdom

5. Faculty of Public Health, Environment and Society, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine , London , United Kingdom

6. School of Primary Care, Population Sciences and Medical Education, Faculty of Medicine, University of Southampton , Southampton , United Kingdom

7. National Institute for Health Research Southampton Biomedical Research Centre, University of Southampton and University Hospital Southampton National Health Service Foundation Trust , Southampton , United Kingdom

8. Long Covid Support, Registered Charity , London , United Kingdom

9. Leicester Real World Evidence Unit, Diabetes Research Centre, University of Leicester , Leicester , United Kingdom

Abstract

Abstract Background Little is known about the risk of long COVID following reinfection with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). We estimated the likelihood of new-onset, self-reported long COVID after a second SARS-CoV-2 infection, compared to a first infection. Methods We included UK COVID-19 Infection Survey participants who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 between 1 November 2021 and 8 October 2022. The primary outcome was self-reported long COVID 12–20 weeks after each infection. Separate analyses were performed for those <16 years and ≥16 years. We estimated adjusted odds ratios (aORs) for new-onset long COVID using logistic regression, comparing second to first infections, controlling for sociodemographic characteristics and calendar date of infection, plus vaccination status in participants ≥16 years of age. Results Overall, long COVID was reported by those ≥16 years after 4.0% and 2.4% of first and second infections, respectively; the corresponding estimates among those aged <16 years were 1.0% and 0.6%. The aOR for long COVID after second compared to first infections was 0.72 (95% confidence interval [CI], .63–.81) for those ≥16 years and 0.93 (95% CI, .57–1.53) for those <16 years. Conclusions The risk of new-onset long COVID after a second SARS-CoV-2 infection is lower than that after a first infection for persons aged ≥16 years, though there is no evidence of a difference in risk for those <16 years. However, there remains some risk of new-onset long COVID after a second infection, with around 1 in 40 of those aged ≥16 years and 1 in 165 of those <16 years reporting long COVID after a second infection.

Funder

Department of Health and Social Care

Welsh government

Department of Health

Northern Ireland government

Scottish government

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

Infectious Diseases,Oncology

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