Global Seasonality of Human Coronaviruses: A Systematic Review

Author:

Park Sangshin1ORCID,Lee Yeonjin23,Michelow Ian C45,Choe Young June6ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Graduate School of Urban Public Health, University of Seoul, Seoul, Republic of Korea

2. Department of Social Work and Social Administration, The University of Hong Kong, Pok Fu Lam, Hong Kong

3. School of Public Health, LKS Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong

4. Department of Pediatrics, Division of Infectious Diseases, Warren Alpert Medical School of Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island, USA

5. Center for International Health Research, Rhode Island Hospital, Providence, Rhode Island, USA

6. Department of Social and Preventive Medicine, Hallym University College of Medicine, Chuncheon, Republic of Korea

Abstract

Abstract In the context of the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, we aimed to systematically address the global seasonal patterns of human coronavirus (HCoV) infections. We identified relevant articles from MEDLINE, EMBASE, and CINAHL Plus as of May 11, 2020. The main outcomes were the peak months of HCoV infections each year and the months during which more than 5% of positive respiratory specimen tests were attributable to HCoV. Of 707 articles reviewed, 22 met the inclusion criteria. The annual percentage of HCoV infections reached a peak in February globally. We found a higher HCoV positivity rate among studies that tested only children (median: 5.9%, range: 0.9%–18.4%), compared with other studies of adults alone (median: 5.2%, range: 3.3%–7.1%) or the entire population (median: 1.9%, range: 0.2%–8.1%). We found the largest global peak of HCoV during the winter season, with the highest rate of positivity among children.

Funder

Hallym University Research Fund

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

Infectious Diseases,Oncology

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