1. Environmental Change Institute (ECI) , School of Geography and the Environment, , 3 South Parks Road, Oxford OX1 3QY , UK
2. University of Oxford , School of Geography and the Environment, , 3 South Parks Road, Oxford OX1 3QY , UK
3. Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Beacon House , Queens Road, Bristol, BS8 1QU , UK
4. Cardiff School of Engineering, Cardiff University , Queens Buildings, 14-17 The Parade, Cardiff, CF24 3AA , UK