Superspreading potential of COVID-19 outbreak seeded by Omicron variants of SARS-CoV-2 in Hong Kong

Author:

Guo Zihao1,Zhao Shi1,Lee Shui Shan12,Mok Chris Ka Pun13,Wong Ngai Sze12ORCID,Wang Jingxuan1,Jia Katherine Min4,Wang Maggie Haitian1ORCID,Yam Carrie Ho Kwan15,Chow Tsz Yu15,Chong Ka Chun15ORCID,Yeoh Eng Kiong15

Affiliation:

1. The Jockey Club School of Public Health and Primary Care , Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong, China

2. Stanley Ho Centre for Emerging Infectious Diseases , Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong, China

3. Li Ka Shing Institute of Health Sciences , Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China

4. Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics , Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States

5. Centre for Health Systems and Policy Research , Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong, China

Abstract

Using two early transmission chains in Hong Kong, the estimated R and k were 1.34 [95% credible interval (CrI): 0.94–2.19] and 0.33 (95%CrI: 0.17–0.62), respectively, inferring 20.3% (95%CrI: 12.7–29.6%) cases were responsible for 80% of the transmissions of the Omicron epidemic. Compared with Omicron BA.1, Omicron BA.2 had a greater superspreading potential.

Funder

National Natural Science Foundation of China

CUHK

Health and Medical Research Fund

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

General Medicine

Reference5 articles.

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