The nature of losses from cyber-related events: risk categories and business sectors

Author:

Shevchenko Pavel V1,Jang Jiwook1,Malavasi Matteo1,Peters Gareth W2ORCID,Sofronov Georgy3,Trück Stefan1

Affiliation:

1. Department of Actuarial Studies and Business Analytics, Macquarie Business School, Macquarie University , Sydney NSW 2109, Australia

2. Department of Statistics and Applied Probability, College of Letters and Science, University of California Santa Barbara , Santa Barbara, CA 93106, USA

3. School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, Faculty of Science and Engineering, Macquarie University , Sydney NSW 2109, Australia

Abstract

Abstract In this study, we examine the nature of losses from cyber-related events across different risk categories and business sectors. Using a leading industry dataset of cyber events, we evaluate the relationship between the frequency and severity of individual cyber-related events and the number of affected records. We find that the frequency of reported cyber-related events has substantially increased between 2008 and 2016. Furthermore, the frequency and severity of losses depend on the business sector and type of cyber threat: the most significant cyber loss event categories, by number of events, were related to data breaches and the unauthorized disclosure of data, while cyber extortion, phishing, spoofing, and other social engineering practices showed substantial growth rates. Interestingly, we do not find a distinct pattern between the frequency of events, the loss severity, and the number of affected records as often alluded to in the literature. We also analyse the severity distribution of cyber-related events across all risk categories and business sectors. This analysis reveals that cyber risks are heavy-tailed, i.e. cyber risk events have a higher probability to produce extreme losses than events whose severity follows an exponential distribution. Furthermore, we find that the frequency and severity of cyber-related losses exhibit a very dynamic and time-varying nature.

Funder

Macquarie University

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

Law,Computer Networks and Communications,Political Science and International Relations,Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality,Social Psychology,Computer Science (miscellaneous)

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