Multi-hazard analysis of flood and tsunamis on the western Mediterranean coast of Turkey
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Published:2022-11-21
Issue:11
Volume:22
Page:3725-3736
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ISSN:1684-9981
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Container-title:Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
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language:en
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Short-container-title:Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci.
Author:
Yavuz CuneytORCID, Yilmaz Kutay, Onder Gorkem
Abstract
Abstract. Flooding has always been a devastating hazard for social and
economic assets and activities. Especially, lowland areas such as coastal
regions can be more vulnerable to inundations. The combination of different
natural hazards observed at the same time is definitely worsening the
situation in the affected regions. The goal of this study is to conduct a
distinctive multi-hazard analysis considering flood hazards with the
contribution of potential earthquake-triggered tsunamis that might be
observed throughout the Fethiye coastline and city center. For this purpose,
tsunami hazard curves are generated based on Monte Carlo simulations.
Comprehensive stochastic hazard analyses are performed considering the
aleatory variability of earthquake-triggered tsunamis and epistemic
uncertainty of floods having 10-, 50-, and 100-year return periods. Numerical
simulations are conducted to combine the potential tsunamis and flood events
that are able to adversely affect the selected region. The results of this
study show that the blockage of stream outlets due to tsunami waves
drastically increases the inundated areas and worsens the condition for the
selected region.
Publisher
Copernicus GmbH
Subject
General Earth and Planetary Sciences
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