Customized deep learning for precipitation bias correction and downscaling

Abstract

Abstract. Systematic biases and coarse resolutions are major limitations of current precipitation datasets. Many deep learning (DL)-based studies have been conducted for precipitation bias correction and downscaling. However, it is still challenging for the current approaches to handle complex features of hourly precipitation, resulting in the incapability of reproducing small-scale features, such as extreme events. This study developed a customized DL model by incorporating customized loss functions, multitask learning and physically relevant covariates to bias correct and downscale hourly precipitation data. We designed six scenarios to systematically evaluate the added values of weighted loss functions, multitask learning, and atmospheric covariates compared to the regular DL and statistical approaches. The models were trained and tested using the Modern-era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications version 2 (MERRA2) reanalysis and the Stage IV radar observations over the northern coastal region of the Gulf of Mexico on an hourly time scale. We found that all the scenarios with weighted loss functions performed notably better than the other scenarios with conventional loss functions and a quantile mapping-based approach at hourly, daily, and monthly time scales as well as extremes. Multitask learning showed improved performance on capturing fine features of extreme events and accounting for atmospheric covariates highly improved model performance at hourly and aggregated time scales, while the improvement is not as large as from weighted loss functions. We show that the customized DL model can better downscale and bias correct hourly precipitation datasets and provide improved precipitation estimates at fine spatial and temporal resolutions where regular DL and statistical methods experience challenges.