Prediction of Land-Use Change along the Urban Rail Transit Based on Markov Model

Abstract

Urban rail transit will have a direct impact on the land use types and structure. This paper mainly focused on Wuhan rail transit line 1, Using 2002、2010 Wuhan local remote sensing image, based on RS and GIS techniques, the transfer matrix of land use around the orbit is achieved by analyzing the land use data in two different periods before and after the urban rail system run, and then based on the markov model to quantitatively forecast the change of land use types between 2013 and 2018. The results showed that, Wuhan rail transit increased the strength of the development and the degree of land use along it, accelerated the mutual transformation between the land use types, changed the land use structure and land cover types along it, in which the construction lands and roads were mainly come from cultivated lands and green lands.