Assessing the International Transferability of a Machine Learning Model for Detecting Medication Error in the General Internal Medicine Clinic: Multicenter Preliminary Validation Study (Preprint)

Author:

Chin Yen Po HarveyORCID,Song WenyuORCID,Lien Chia EnORCID,Yoon Chang HoORCID,Wang Wei-ChenORCID,Liu JenniferORCID,Nguyen Phung AnhORCID,Feng Yi TingORCID,Zhou LiORCID,Li Yu Chuan JackORCID,Bates David WestfallORCID

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Although most current medication error prevention systems are rule-based, these systems may result in alert fatigue because of poor accuracy. Previously, we had developed a machine learning (ML) model based on Taiwan’s local databases (TLD) to address this issue. However, the international transferability of this model is unclear.

OBJECTIVE

This study examines the international transferability of a machine learning model for detecting medication errors and whether the federated learning approach could further improve the accuracy of the model.

METHODS

The study cohort included 667,572 outpatient prescriptions from 2 large US academic medical centers. Our ML model was applied to build the original model (O model), the local model (L model), and the hybrid model (H model). The O model was built using the data of 1.34 billion outpatient prescriptions from TLD. A validation set with 8.98% (60,000/667,572) of the prescriptions was first randomly sampled, and the remaining 91.02% (607,572/667,572) of the prescriptions served as the local training set for the L model. With a federated learning approach, the H model used the association values with a higher frequency of co-occurrence among the O and L models. A testing set with 600 prescriptions was classified as <i>substantiated</i> and <i>unsubstantiated</i> by 2 independent physician reviewers and was then used to assess model performance.

RESULTS

The interrater agreement was significant in terms of classifying prescriptions as <i>substantiated</i> and <i>unsubstantiated</i> (κ=0.91; 95% CI 0.88 to 0.95). With thresholds ranging from 0.5 to 1.5, the alert accuracy ranged from 75%-78% for the O model, 76%-78% for the L model, and 79%-85% for the H model.

CONCLUSIONS

Our ML model has good international transferability among US hospital data. Using the federated learning approach with local hospital data could further improve the accuracy of the model.

Publisher

JMIR Publications Inc.

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