Predicting the Users’ Level of Engagement with a Smartphone Application for Smoking Cessation: Randomized Trial and Machine Learning Analysis

Abstract

Introduction: Studies of the users’ engagement with smoking cessation application (apps) can help understand how these apps are used by smokers, in order to improve their reach and efficacy. Objective: The present study aimed at identifying the best predictors of the users’ level of engagement with a smartphone app for smoking cessation and at examining the relationships between predictors and outcomes related to the users’ level of engagement with the app. Methods: A secondary analysis of data from a randomized trial testing the efficacy of the Stop-Tabac smartphone app was used. The experimental group used the “full” app and the control group used a “dressed down” app. The study included a baseline and 1-month and 6-month follow-up questionnaires. A total of 5,293 participants answered at least the baseline questionnaires; however, in the current study, only the 1,861 participants who answered at least the baseline and the 1-month follow-up questionnaire were included. Predictors were measured at baseline and after 1 month and outcomes after 6 months. Data were analyzed using machine learning algorithms. Results: The best predictors of the outcomes were, in decreasing order of importance, intention to stop smoking, dependence level, perceived helpfulness of the app, having quit smoking after 1 month, self-reported usage of the app after 1 month, belonging to the experimental group (vs. control group), age, and years of smoking. Most of these predictors were also significantly associated with the participants’ level of engagement with the app. Conclusions: This information can be used to further target the app to specific groups of users, to develop strategies to enroll more smokers, and to better adapt the app’s content to the users’ needs.