Dry Bias in Satellite-Derived Clear-Sky Water Vapor and Its Contribution to Longwave Cloud Radiative Forcing

Abstract

Abstract In this paper, the amount of satellite-derived longwave cloud radiative forcing (CRF) that is due to an increase in upper-tropospheric water vapor associated with the evolution from clear-sky to the observed all-sky conditions is assessed. This is important because the satellite-derived clear-sky outgoing radiative fluxes needed for the CRF determination are from cloud-free areas away from the cloudy regions in order to avoid cloud contamination of the clear-sky fluxes. However, avoidance of cloud contamination implies a sampling problem as the clear-sky fluxes represent an area drier than the hypothetical clear-sky humidity in cloudy regions. While this issue has been recognized in earlier works this study makes an attempt to quantitatively estimate the bias in the clear-sky longwave CRF. Water vapor amounts in the 200–500-mb layer corresponding to all-sky condition are derived from microwave measurements with the Special Sensor Microwave Temperature-2 Profiler and are used in combination with cloud data for determining the clear-sky water vapor distribution of that layer. The obtained water vapor information is then used to constrain the humidity profiles for calculating clear-sky longwave fluxes at the top of the atmosphere. It is shown that the clear-sky moisture bias in the upper troposphere can be up to 40%–50% drier over convectively active regions. Results indicate that up to 12 W m−2 corresponding to about 15% of the satellite-derived longwave CRF in tropical regions can be attributed to the water vapor changes associated with cloud development.