Comments on “Impacts of CO2-Induced Warming on Simulated Hurricane Intensity and Precipitation: Sensitivity to the Choice of Climate Model and Convective Scheme”-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Comments on “Impacts of CO2-Induced Warming on Simulated Hurricane Intensity and Precipitation: Sensitivity to the Choice of Climate Model and Convective Scheme”

Published:2005-12-01 Issue:23 Volume:18 Page:5179-5182
ISSN:1520-0442
Container-title:Journal of Climate
language:en
Short-container-title:

Author:

Michaels Patrick J.¹,Knappenberger Paul C.²,Landsea Christopher³

Affiliation:

1. Department of Environmental Sciences, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia

2. New Hope Environmental Services, Inc., New Hope, Virginia

3. NOAA/AOML/Hurricane Research Division, Miami, Florida

Abstract

Abstract In a simulation of enhanced tropical cyclones in a warmer world, Knutson and Tuleya make several assumptions that are not borne out in the real world. They include an unrealistically large carbon dioxide growth rate, an overly strong relationship between sea surface temperature and hurricane intensity, and the use of a mesoscale model that has shown little to no useful skill in predicting current-day hurricane intensity. After accounting for these inaccuracies, a detectable increase in Atlantic hurricane intensity in response to growing atmospheric greenhouse gas levels during this century becomes unlikely.

Publisher

American Meteorological Society

Subject

Atmospheric Science

Link

http://journals.ametsoc.org/jcli/article-pdf/18/23/5179/3795568/jcli3592_1.pdf

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