National Trends in Mortality and Urgent Dialysis after Acute Hypertension in Japan From 2010 Through 2019

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Despite increasing incidences of hypertension, recent trends in mortality and urgent dialysis following acute hypertension (AHT) remain undetermined. METHODS: This retrospective observational cohort study evaluated 50 316 hospitalized AHT patients from 2010 to 2019, using an administrative claims database in Japan. We examined trends in incidence, urgent dialysis, mortality, and its risk factors using Poisson regression models. Using International Classification of Disease and Related Health Problems, 10th Revision codes, AHT was categorized into 5 spectrums: malignant hypertension ( n =1792), hypertensive emergency ( n =17 907), hypertensive urgency ( n =1562), hypertensive encephalopathy ( n =6593), and hypertensive heart failure (HHF; n =22 462). RESULTS: The median age of the patients was 76 years, and 54.9% were women. The total AHT incidence was 70 cases per 100 000 admission year. The absolute death rate increased from 1.83% (95% CI, 1.40–2.40) to 2.88% ([95% CI, 2.42–3.41]; Cochran-Armitage trend test, P< 0.0001). Upward trends were observed in patients aged ≥80, with lean body mass index ≤18.4, and with HHF. Urgent dialysis rates increased from 1.52% (95% CI, 1.12–2.06) to 2.60% (2.17–3.1; Cochran-Armitage trend test; P =0.0071) in 48 235 patients, excluding maintenance dialysis patients. Older age, men, lean body mass, malignant hypertension, HHF, and underlying chronic kidney disease correlated with higher mortality risk; greater hospital volume correlated with lower mortality risk; and malignant hypertension, HHF, diabetes, chronic kidney disease, and scleroderma correlated with a higher risk of urgent dialysis. CONCLUSIONS: Mortality and urgent dialysis rates following AHT have increased. Aging, complex comorbidities, and HHF-type AHT contributed to the rising trend of mortality.