Dynamics of a stage-structured predator–prey system with fear-induced group defense in autonomous and nonautonomous settings

Abstract

In this investigation, we construct a predator–prey model that distinguishes between immature and mature prey, highlighting group defense strategies within the mature prey. First, we embark on exploring the positivity and boundedness of the solution, unraveling sustainable equilibrium points, and deducing their stability conditions. Upon further investigation, we observe that the system exhibits diverse bifurcations, including Hopf, saddle-node, transcritical, generalized Hopf, cusp, and Bogdanov–Takens bifurcations. The results reveal that heightened fear decreases mature prey density, potentially causing prey extinction beyond a certain threshold. Increased maturation rates lead to the coexistence of immature and mature prey populations and higher predator density. Stronger group defense boosts mature prey density, while weaker defense results in weak persistence. Lower values of the maturation rate of prey and the decline rate of predators sustain only the predator population, reliant on resources other than focal prey. Furthermore, our model demonstrates intriguing and diverse dynamical phenomena, including various forms of bistability across distinct bi-parameter planes. We also explore the dynamics of a related nonautonomous system, where certain parameters are considered to vary with time. In the seasonally forced model, we set out to define criteria regarding the existence and stability of positive periodic solutions. Numerical investigations into the seasonally forced model uncover a spectrum of dynamics, ranging from simple periodic solutions to higher periodicities, bursting patterns, and chaotic behavior.