Can mathematical modelling solve the current Covid-19 crisis?

Author:

Panovska-Griffiths Jasmina

Abstract

AbstractSince COVID-19 transmission started in late January, mathematical modelling has been at the forefront of shaping the decisions around different non-pharmaceutical interventions to confine its’ spread in the UK and worldwide. This Editorial discusses the importance of modelling in understanding Covid-19 spread, highlights different modelling approaches and suggests that while modelling is important, no one model can give all the answers.

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Subject

Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health

Reference7 articles.

1. Ferguson NM, Laydon D, Nedjati-Gilani D, et al. Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID- 19 mortality and healthcare demand. Preprint assessed 26th March 2020 and available at https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf.

2. Epidemiologist Behind Highly-Cited Coronavirus Model Drastically Downgrades Projection, Daily Wire, 26th March 2020. Accessed 26th March 2020. https://www.dailywire.com/news/epidemiologist-behind-highly-cited-coronavirus-model-admits-he-was-wrong-drastically-revises-model?fbclid=IwAR3cws28hA9OC4Cdl55_ve9mq0zEpTbwrZ4WcG5kMboxkXNuthHU100N194.

3. UK has enough intensive care units for coronavirus, expert predicts. New Scientist, 25th March 2020. Accessed 26th March 2020. https://www.newscientist.com/article/2238578-uk-has-enough-intensive-care-units-for-coronavirus-expert-predicts/.

4. Coronavirus exposes the problems and pitfalls of modelling, The Guardian, 25th March 2020. https://www.theguardian.com/science/2020/mar/25/coronavirus-exposes-the-problems-and-pitfalls-of-modelling.

5. Lourenço J, Paton R, Ghafari M, et al. Gupta S. Fundamental principles of epidemic spread highlight the immediate need for large-scale serological surveys to assess the stage of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic. Preprint assessed 26th March 2020 and available at https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.24.20042291v1.

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3