Effects of tolvaptan discontinuation in patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease: a post hoc pooled analysis

Abstract

Abstract Background Tolvaptan slows kidney function decline in patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) who are at risk of rapid progression. Given that treatment requires commitment to long-term use, we evaluated the effects of tolvaptan discontinuation on the trajectory of ADPKD progression. Methods This was a post hoc analysis of pooled data from two clinical trials of tolvaptan (TEMPO 2:4 [NCT00413777] and TEMPO 3:4 [NCT00428948]), an extension trial (TEMPO 4:4 [NCT01214421]), and an observational study (OVERTURE [NCT01430494]) that enrolled patients from the other trials. Individual subject data were linked longitudinally across trials to construct analysis cohorts of subjects with a tolvaptan treatment duration > 180 days followed by an off-treatment observation period of > 180 days. For inclusion in Cohort 1, subjects were required have ≥ 2 outcome assessments during the tolvaptan treatment period and ≥ 2 assessments during the follow-up period. For Cohort 2, subjects were required to have ≥ 1 assessment during the tolvaptan treatment period and ≥ 1 assessment during the follow-up period. Outcomes were rates of change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and total kidney volume (TKV). Piecewise-mixed models compared changes in eGFR or TKV in the on-treatment and post-treatment periods. Results In the Cohort 1 eGFR population (n = 20), the annual rate of eGFR change (in mL/min/1.73 m2) was -3.18 on treatment and -4.33 post-treatment, a difference that was not significant (P = 0.16), whereas in Cohort 2 (n = 82), the difference between on treatment (-1.89) and post-treatment (-4.94) was significant (P < 0.001). In the Cohort 1 TKV population (n = 11), TKV increased annually by 5.18% on treatment and 11.69% post-treatment (P = 0.06). In Cohort 2 (n = 88), the annual TKV growth rates were 5.15% on treatment and 8.16% post-treatment (P = 0.001). Conclusions Although limited by small sample sizes, these analyses showed directionally consistent acceleration in measures of ADPKD progression following the discontinuation of tolvaptan.