Hematological profiles and mortality risk in critically ill and drug-resistant tuberculosis patients: insights from a longitudinal study

Abstract

Abstract Background While tuberculosis (TB) remains a significant global health threat, data on mortality in critically ill TB patients and those with drug-resistant TB (DR-TB) is limited. This study explores hematological profiles of critically ill TB patients and those with DR-TB, investigating associations with in-hospital and short-term mortality. Methods A longitudinal study of 269 patients with confirmed TB evaluated baseline blood cell counts and indices from medical records. We calculated in-hospital mortality and short-term prognosis, followed by analysis to identify predictors of mortality using hematological parameters. Results One-third of TB patients were critically ill (35.32%) and required intensive care unit (ICU) admission, while 14.5% had DR-TB, more common in females and smokers. Critically ill patients were older and tended to be non-smokers. DR-TB patients exhibited elevated lymphocyte and monocyte counts but lower neutrophil count and blood indices. Critically ill DS-TB patients had lower hemoglobin (Hb) and platelet (PLT) but higher total leucocytes count (TLC) and mean platelet volume (MPV). In-hospital mortality rate was 29.37%, significantly higher in critically ill DS-TB patients (74.74%). In-hospital mortality was 14-fold higher in critically ill DS-TB patients, 11-fold higher in stable DR-TB patients, and 6-fold higher in patients with comorbidities. Decreased Hb, monocyte level, and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) were significantly associated with in-hospital mortality. Predictors of short-term mortality included critical illness and comorbidities. However, the effect of DR-TB on short-term mortality disappeared. Decreasing Hb and TLC, especially neutrophils were significantly linked to short-term mortality. The utility of Hb in discriminating in-hospital and short-term mortality was very good, with AUC values of 78% and 79%, respectively. Cutoff values of less than 10 mg/dL and 9.75 mg/dL showed sensitivity ranging from 71 to 80% and specificity ranging from 75 to 80%, respectively. Conclusion This study provides valuable insights into patients with DR-TB and DS-TB with critically illness. We observed elevated lymphocyte and monocyte counts in DR-TB patients, as well as significant alterations in blood indices in critically ill patients. Importantly, the in-hospital mortality was notably higher in critically ill DS-TB patients, highlighting the importance of early recognition and aggressive management in this subgroup. Specifically, certain blood parameters such as hemoglobin, monocytes, neutrophils, and the NLR were associated with an increased risk of both in-hospital and short-term mortality. Furthermore, our findings underscore the prognostic significance of hematological parameters, particularly in resource-limited settings.