COVID-19 and Overall Mortality Inequities in the Surge in Death Rates by Zip Code Characteristics: Massachusetts, January 1 to May 19, 2020

Author:

Krieger Nancy1,Waterman Pamela D.1,Chen Jarvis T.1

Affiliation:

1. The authors are with the Department of Social and Behavioral Sciences, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA.

Abstract

Objectives. To address evidence gaps in COVID-19 mortality inequities resulting from inadequate race/ethnicity data and no socioeconomic data. Methods. We analyzed age-standardized death rates in Massachusetts by weekly time intervals, comparing rates for January 1 to May 19, 2020, with the corresponding historical average for 2015 to 2019 stratified by zip code social metrics. Results. At the surge peak (week 16, April 15–21), mortality rate ratios (comparing 2020 vs 2015–2019) were 2.2 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.4, 3.5) and 2.7 (95% CI = 1.4, 5.5) for the lowest and highest zip code tabulation area (ZCTA) poverty categories, respectively, with the 2020 peak mortality rate 1.1 (95% CI = 1.0, 1.3) times higher in the highest than the lowest poverty ZCTA. Similarly, rate ratios were significantly elevated for the highest versus lowest quintiles with respect to household crowding (1.7; 95% CI = 1.0, 2.9), racialized economic segregation (3.1; 95% CI = 1.8, 5.3), and percentage population of color (1.8; 95% CI = 1.6, 2.0). Conclusions. The COVID-19 mortality surge exhibited large inequities. Public Health Implications. Using zip code social metrics can guide equity-oriented COVID-19 prevention and mitigation efforts.

Publisher

American Public Health Association

Subject

Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health

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