Impact of Foreign Capital Inflows and Money Supply on Exchange Rate: A Case Study of Pakistan

Abstract

The study attempts to examine the impact of foreign capital inflows and money supply on exchange rate of Pakistan. For this purpose we have undertaken time series data for the period of 1973-2016. Annual data for the period 1973-2016 is used, taken from Economic Survey of Pakistan (various issues) and International Financial Statistics (IFS). The main variables used in our analysis are exchange rate, openness, workers' remittances, foreign direct investment, foreign aid and money supply. Simple Linear Regression model with ordinary least method (OLS) is used to analyse the results. Money supply is positively and significantly related to exchange rate. Worker's remittances (WREM), foreign aid (FAID), foreign direct investment. (FDI) and openness (OPP) are negatively and significantly related to exchange rate.  The study shows that foreign capital inflows and workers' remittances significantly appreciate the exchange rate in the case of Pakistan.