The many possible climates from the Paris Agreement’s aim of 1.5 °C warming

Author:

Seneviratne Sonia I.,Rogelj Joeri,Séférian Roland,Wartenburger Richard,Allen Myles R.,Cain Michelle,Millar Richard J.,Ebi Kristie L.,Ellis Neville,Hoegh-Guldberg Ove,Payne Antony J.,Schleussner Carl-Friedrich,Tschakert Petra,Warren Rachel F.

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Subject

Multidisciplinary

Reference74 articles.

1. United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). Adoption of the Paris Agreement FCCC/CP/2015/L.9/Rev.1 http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/2015/cop21/eng/l09r01.pdf (UNFCCC, 2015).

2. UNFCCC. Report on the Structured Expert Dialogue on the 2013–2015 Review http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/2015/sb/eng/inf01.pdf (UNFCCC, 2015).This document prepared in advance of the Paris Agreement provides the underlying rationale for setting changes in global temperature as climate targets.

3. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (eds Stocker, T. F. et al.) 3–29 (Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, 2013).

4. Seneviratne, S. I., Donat, M. G., Pitman, A. J., Knutti, R. & Wilby, R. L. Allowable CO2 emissions based on regional and impact-related climate targets. Nature 529, 477–483 (2016). This article highlights the large regional spread in climate model responses associated with given global temperature levels for specific regions and variables.

5. Rogelj, J., Schleussner, C.-F. & Hare, W. Getting it right matters—temperature goal interpretations in geoscience research. Geophys. Res. Lett. 44, 10662–10665 (2017).

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