Changing travel patterns in China during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic
-
Published:2020-10-06
Issue:1
Volume:11
Page:
-
ISSN:2041-1723
-
Container-title:Nature Communications
-
language:en
-
Short-container-title:Nat Commun
Author:
Gibbs Hamish, Liu YangORCID, Pearson Carl A. B.ORCID, Jarvis Christopher I., Grundy Chris, Quilty Billy J., Diamond Charlie, Simons David, Gimma Amy, Leclerc Quentin J., Auzenbergs Megan, Lowe Rachel, O’Reilly Kathleen, Quaife Matthew, Hellewell Joel, Knight Gwenan M., Jombart Thibaut, Klepac Petra, Procter Simon R., Deol Arminder K., Rees Eleanor M., Flasche Stefan, Kucharski Adam J., Abbott Sam, Sun Fiona Yueqian, Endo Akira, Medley Graham, Munday James D., Meakin Sophie R., Bosse Nikos I., Edmunds W. John, Davies Nicholas G., Prem Kiesha, Hué Stéphane, Villabona-Arenas C. Julian, Nightingale Emily S., Houben Rein M. G. J., Foss Anna M., Tully Damien C., Emery Jon C., van Zandvoort Kevin, Atkins Katherine E., Rosello Alicia, Funk Sebastian, Jit Mark, Clifford Samuel, Russell Timothy W., Eggo Rosalind M.ORCID,
Abstract
AbstractUnderstanding changes in human mobility in the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic is crucial for assessing the impacts of travel restrictions designed to reduce disease spread. Here, relying on data from mainland China, we investigate the spatio-temporal characteristics of human mobility between 1st January and 1st March 2020, and discuss their public health implications. An outbound travel surge from Wuhan before travel restrictions were implemented was also observed across China due to the Lunar New Year, indicating that holiday travel may have played a larger role in mobility changes compared to impending travel restrictions. Holiday travel also shifted healthcare pressure related to COVID-19 towards locations with lower healthcare capacity. Network analyses showed no sign of major changes in the transportation network after Lunar New Year. Changes observed were temporary and did not lead to structural reorganisation of the transportation network during the study period.
Publisher
Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Subject
General Physics and Astronomy,General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology,General Chemistry
Reference42 articles.
1. Wang, X., Liu, C., Mao, W., Hu, Z. & Gu, L. Tracing the largest seasonal migration on earth. Preprint at https://arxiv.org/abs/1411.0983 (2014). 2. An, B. & Hu, L. This Year’s Spring Festival 2.99 Billion Passengers Will Travel. Xinhua Net (2019). 3. Hao, Y. Go Home Early on the First Day of the Spring Festival. Xinhua Net (2020). 4. Shi, P., Keskinocak, P., Swann, J. L. & Lee, B. Y. The impact of mass gatherings and holiday traveling on the course of an influenza pandemic: a computational model. BMC Public Health 10, 778 (2010). 5. Huang, H. Diary of Pneumonia|January 23: Wuhan is fully ‘closing the city’ to fully contain the epidemic. Caixin (2020).
Cited by
83 articles.
订阅此论文施引文献
订阅此论文施引文献，注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献，订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献
|
|