Causes of accelerated High-Tide Flooding in the U.S. since 1950

Author:

Sun QiangORCID,Dangendorf SönkeORCID,Wahl ThomasORCID,Thompson Philip R.ORCID

Abstract

AbstractThe U.S. coastlines have experienced rapid increases in occurrences of High Tide Flooding (HTF) during recent decades. While it is generally accepted that relative mean sea level (RMSL) rise is the dominant cause for this, an attribution to individual components is still lacking. Here, we use local sea-level budgets to attribute past changes in HTF days to RMSL and its individual contributions. We find that while RMSL rise generally explains > 84% of long-term increases in HTF days locally, spatial patterns in HTF changes also depend on differences in flooding thresholds and water level characteristics. Vertical land motion dominates long-term increases in HTF, particularly in the northeast, while sterodynamic sea level (SDSL) is most important elsewhere and on shorter temporal scales. We also show that the recent SDSL acceleration in the Gulf of Mexico has led to an increase of 220% in the frequency of HTF events over the last decade.

Funder

National Aeronautics and Space Administration

National Science Foundation

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Subject

Atmospheric Science,Environmental Chemistry,Global and Planetary Change

Reference42 articles.

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3. Sweet, W. V. et al. Global and regional sea level rise scenarios for the United States (NOAA, 2017).

4. Sweet, W. V., Dusek, G., Obeysekera, J. T. & Marra, J. J. Patterns and projections of high tide flooding along the US coastline using a common impact threshold (NOAA, 2018).

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