Risk of yellow fever virus importation into the United States from Brazil, outbreak years 2016–2017 and 2017–2018

Author:

Dorigatti IlariaORCID,Morrison Stephanie,Donnelly Christl A.,Garske Tini,Bowden Sarah,Grills Ardath

Abstract

AbstractSoutheast Brazil has experienced two large yellow fever (YF) outbreaks since 2016. While the 2016–2017 outbreak mainly affected the states of Espírito Santo and Minas Gerais, the 2017–2018 YF outbreak primarily involved the states of Minas Gerais, São Paulo, and Rio de Janeiro, the latter two of which are highly populated and popular destinations for international travelers. This analysis quantifies the risk of YF virus (YFV) infected travelers arriving in the United States via air travel from Brazil, including both incoming Brazilian travelers and returning US travelers. We assumed that US travelers were subject to the same daily risk of YF infection as Brazilian residents. During both YF outbreaks in Southeast Brazil, three international airports—Miami, New York-John F. Kennedy, and Orlando—had the highest risk of receiving a traveler infected with YFV. Most of the risk was observed among incoming Brazilian travelers. Overall, we found low risk of YFV introduction into the United States during the 2016–2017 and 2017–2018 outbreaks. Decision makers can use these results to employ the most efficient and least restrictive actions and interventions.

Funder

Imperial College London

RCUK | Medical Research Council

DH | National Institute for Health Research

Wellcome Trust

Royal Society

UK Department for International Development

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Subject

Multidisciplinary

Reference42 articles.

1. Barnett, E. D. Yellow fever: epidemiology and prevention. Clin. Infect. Dis. 44(6), 850–6 (2007).

2. Gershman, M. D. & Staples, J. E. Infectious diseases related to travel. In: CDC health information for international travel. Atlanta: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. p. 704 (2018).

3. Jentes, E. S. et al. The revised global yellow fever risk map and recommendations for vaccination, 2010: consensus of the Informal WHO Working Group on Geographic Risk for Yellow Fever. Lancet Infect. Dis. 11(8), 622–32 (2011).

4. Monath, T. P. Yellow fever: an update. Lancet Infect. Dis. 1(1), 11–20 (2001).

5. Brasil Ministerio da Saude. Informe n° 21—Monitoramento do Período Sazonal da Febre Amarela Brasil—2017/2018. Brasil; April 10, Report No. 21 (2018).

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3