Pre-diagnostic trajectories of lymphocytosis predict time to treatment and death in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia

Abstract

Abstract Background The dynamics of pre-diagnostic lymphocytosis in patients with ensuing chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) need to be explored as a better understanding of disease progression may improve treatment options and even lead to disease avoidance approaches. Our aim was to investigate the development of lymphocytosis prior to diagnosis in a population-based cohort of patients with CLL and to assess the prognostic information in these pre-diagnostic measurements. Methods All patients diagnosed with CLL in the Greater Copenhagen area between 2008 and 2016 were included in the study. Pre-diagnostic blood test results were obtained from the Copenhagen Primary Care Laboratory Database encompassing all blood tests requested by Copenhagen general practitioners. Using pre-diagnostic measurements, we developed a model to assess the prognosis following diagnosis. Our model accounts for known prognostic factors and corresponds to lymphocyte dynamics after diagnosis. Results We explore trajectories of lymphocytosis, associated with known recurrent mutations. We show that the pre-diagnostic trajectories are an independent predictor of time to treatment. The implementation of pre-diagnostic lymphocytosis slope groups improved the model predictions (compared to CLL-IPI alone) for treatment throughout the period. The model can manage the heterogeneous data that are to be expected from the real-world setting and adds further prognostic information. Conclusions Our findings further knowledge of the development of CLL and may eventually make prophylactic measures possible.