Affiliation:
1. Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, Brasil
Abstract
ABSTRACT The reason why mergers and acquisitions occur in waves is still a subject rarely explored in the financial literature, especially in a context of markets outside the USA and UK. Therefore, the present study investigates whether the optimism of the agents could led to a wave of M&A, using Brazilian data from 2007 to 2017 of transactions and the Business Confidence Index, wich measures the optimism of the entrepreneurs about the current and future economy scenario. We used Harford (2005)’s definition for a M&A wave. Using a Logit binary response model, the study pointed out that optimism increases the probability of M&A wave. Ibovespa was the variable that had the greater effect on the probabilities of a M&A wave. The results were significant for different lags.
Subject
Marketing,Strategy and Management,Industrial relations,Business and International Management,Business, Management and Accounting (miscellaneous),Management of Technology and Innovation,Management Science and Operations Research,Information Systems and Management,Organizational Behavior and Human Resource Management
Reference36 articles.
1. New evidence and perspectives on mergers;Andrade G.;Journal of Economic Perspectives,2001
2. Do investment banks matter for M&A returns?;Bao J.;The Review of Financial Studies,2011
3. CEO optimism and forced turnover;Campbell T. C.;Journal of Financial Economics,2011
4. Cross-border mergers and market segmentation;Chaudhuri A. R.;The Journal of Industrial Economics,2014
5. Overconfidence, stability and investments;Dessí R.;Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization,2018