Estimation of the Manning’s n coefficient in multi-constituent tidal models by assimilating satellite observations with the adjoint data assimilation

Abstract

The bottom friction is critical for the dissipation of the global tidal energy. The bottom friction coefficient is traditionally determined using the Manning’s n formulation in tidal models. The Manning’s n coefficient in the Manning’s n formulation is vital for the accurate simulation and prediction of the tide in coastal shallow waters, but it cannot be directly measured and contains large amounts of uncertainties. Based on a two-dimensional multi-constituent tidal model with the adjoint data assimilation, the estimation of the Manning’s n coefficient is investigated by assimilating satellite observations in the Bohai, Yellow and East China Seas with the simulation of four principal tidal constituents M2, S2, K1 and O1. In the twin experiments, the Manning’s n coefficient is assumed to be constant, and it is estimated by assimilating the synthetic observations at the spatial locations of the satellite tracks. Regardless the inclusion of artificial random observational errors associated with synthetic observations, the model performance is improved as evaluated by the independent synthetic observations. The prescribed ‘real’ Manning’s n coefficient is reasonably estimated, indicating that the adjoint data assimilation is an effective method to estimate the Manning’s n coefficient in multi-constituent tidal models. In the practical experiments, the errors between the independent observations at the tidal gauge stations and the corresponding simulated results of the four principal tidal constituents are substantially decreased under both scenarios of the constant and spatially-temporally varying Manning’s n coefficient estimated by assimilating the satellite observations with the adjoint data assimilation. In addition, the estimated spatial and temporal variation trend is robust and not affected by the model settings. The spatially-temporally varying Manning’s n coefficient is negatively correlated with the current speed and shows significant spatial variation in the shallow water areas. This study demonstrates that the Manning’s n coefficient can be reasonably estimated by the adjoint data assimilation, which allows significant improvement in accurate simulation of the ocean tide.