A Statistical Prediction Model for Sluice Seepage Based on MHHO-BiLSTM

Author:

Huang Zihui123,Gu Chongshi123,Peng Jianhe4,Wu Yan5,Gu Hao123,Shao Chenfei123,Zheng Sen123,Zhu Mingyuan1235

Affiliation:

1. The National Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China

2. College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China

3. National Engineering Research Center of Water Resources Efficient Utilization and Engineering Safety, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China

4. Anhui and Huaihe River Institute of Hydraulic Research (Anhui Provincial Water Conservancy Engineering Quality Testing Center Station), Hefei 230088, China

5. Xinjiang Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Urumqi 830049, China

Abstract

The current seepage prediction model of the sluice gate is rarely used. To solve the problem, this paper selects the bidirectional long and short-term neural network (BiLSTM) with high information integration and accuracy, which can well understand and capture the temporal pattern and dependency relationship in the sequence and uses the multi-strategy improved Harris Hawks optimization algorithm (MHHO) to analyze its two hyperparameters: By optimizing the number of forward and backward neurons, the overfitting and long-term dependence problems of the neural network are solved, and the convergence rate is accelerated. Based on this, the MHHO-BiLSTM statistical prediction model of sluice seepage is established in this paper. To begin with, the prediction model uses water pressure, rainfall, and aging effects as input data. Afterward, the bidirectional long short-term memory neural network parameters are optimized using the multi-strategy improved Harris Hawks optimization algorithm. Then, the statistical prediction model based on the optimization algorithm proposed in this paper for sluice seepage is proposed. Finally, the seepage data of a sluice and its influencing factors are used for empirical analysis. The calculation and analysis results indicate that the optimization algorithm proposed in this paper can better search the optimal parameters of the bidirectional long short-term memory neural network compared with the original Harris Eagle optimization algorithm, optimizing the bidirectional long short-term memory neural network (HHO-BiLSTM) and the original bidirectional long short-term memory neural network (BiLSTM). Meanwhile, the bidirectional long and short-term neural network (BiLSTM) model shows higher prediction accuracy and robustness.

Funder

National Natural Science Foundation of China

Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities

Anhui Provincial Natural Science Foundation “Water Sciences” Joint Fund

Jiangsu Young Science and Technological Talents Support Project

Fund of Water Conservancy Technology of Xinjiang Province

Water Conservancy Science and Technology Project of Jiangsu

China Postdoctoral Science Foundation

Publisher

MDPI AG

Reference36 articles.

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2. Hong, P., Cao, B., and Ai, D. (2023, January 26). Based on the exploration of sluice engineering construction technology in hydraulic engineering. Proceedings of the Guangzhou Sub-Forum of 2023 Smart City Construction Forum, Guangzhou, China. (In Chinese).

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