The Impact of Climate Change on Glacial Lake Outburst Floods

Author:

Gao Jiajia123,Du Jun2,Bai Yuxuan4,Chen Tao5,Zhuoma Yixi5

Affiliation:

1. Research Center for Ecology, Tibet University, Lhasa 850000, China

2. Tibet Institute of Plateau Atmospheric Environmental Science, Lhasa 850000, China

3. Xigazê National Climatological Observatory, Xigazê 857000, China

4. Nyingchi Meteorological Service, Nyingchi 860114, China

5. Climate Center of TIbet Autonmous Region, Lhasa 850000, China

Abstract

Glacial lake outburst floods (GLOF) hazards in alpine areas are increasing. The effects of climate change on GLOF hazards are unclear. This study examined 37 glacial lakes and climate data from 15 meteorological stations and explored the correlation between climate variations at different temporal scales. The results indicate that 19 GLOFs hazards occurred in El Niño (warm) years, 8 GLOFs hazards occurred in La Niña (cold) years, 3 GLOFs hazards occurred in cold/warm or warm/cold transition years, and 7 GLOFs hazards occurred in normal years. The higher the fluctuations, the higher the probability of GLOF hazards. Climatic conditions can be divided into three categories: extreme temperature and precipitation, as represented by the Guangxie Co GLOF; extreme precipitation, as represented by the Poge Co GLOF; and extreme temperature, as represented by the Tsho Ga GLOF.

Funder

impact of large-scale hydropower projects on the hydrology and meteorology of the Yarlung Tsangpo River area

Key Project of the Natural Science Foundation of Tibet Science and Technology Department

second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program

Youth Innovation Team of China Meteorological Administration

Opening Project of Institude of Tibetan Plateau and Polar Meteorology, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences

Publisher

MDPI AG

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