Fusion-Learning of Bayesian Network Models for Fault Diagnostics

Abstract

Bayesian Network (BN) models are being successfully applied to improve fault diagnosis, which in turn can improve equipment uptime and customer service. Most of these BN models are essentially trained using quantitative data obtained from sensors. However, sensors may not be able to cover all faults and therefore such BN models would be incomplete. Furthermore, many systems have maintenance logs that can serve as qualitative data, potentially containing historic causation information in unstructured natural language replete with technical terms. The motivation of this paper is to leverage all of the data available to improve BN learning. Specifically, we propose a method for fusion-learning of BNs: for quantitative data obtained from sensors, metrology data and qualitative data from maintenance logs, corrective and preventive action reports, and then follow by fusing these two BNs. Furthermore, we propose a human-in-the-loop approach for expert knowledge elicitation of the BN structure aided by logged natural language data instead of relying exclusively on their anecdotal memory. The resulting fused BN model can be expected to provide improved diagnostics as it has a wider fault coverage than the individual BNs. We demonstrate the efficacy of our proposed method using real world data from uninterruptible power supply (UPS) fault diagnostics.